Monday, April 13, 2009

There is no global economy

The concept of the 'global economy' is largely exaggerated. The US can – and should – still set its own economic policies

Mark Weisbrot
guardian.co.uk, Wednesday 8 April 2009 14.00 BST

"This is the day that the world came together, to fight back against the global recession. Not with words but a plan for global recovery and for reform and with a clear timetable," said Gordon Brown at the end of the G20 summit last week.

This was somewhat exaggerated. There was no plan for global recovery or even a commitment to increased fiscal stimulus. It remains to be seen what kinds of reforms will actually materialise.

But recovery and reform will not necessarily hinge on what the G20 agrees to do. Roll back to the last major economic crisis – that which began in Asia in 1997 and spread to Russia, Brazil, Argentina and other countries. In September 1998 Federal Reserve chair Alan Greenspan warned: "It is just not credible that the United States can remain an oasis of prosperity unaffected by a world that is experiencing greatly increased stress." But the US economy kept booming right through the crisis, as a result of consumption driven by the stock market bubble. This continued until the bubble burst, pushing the US economy into recession in 2001.

It should not be surprising that the US economy has the potential to grow even while many other economies are contracting. Eighty-seven percent of what is produced in the US is consumed here. To be sure, the other 13% percent can make a difference – but US recessions are not brought on by falling exports. It is not comparable to the 47% of GDP that Germany exported last year, or even the 28% for Mexico.

Of course the current world recession is much worse and more widespread than the crisis of the late 1990s. The high-income countries that comprise the majority of the world economy, including the US, EU and Japan are mostly in recession. There are some big imbalances, built up over many years, that are adjusting at a pace that is not easy to predict – including the US savings rate, which had fallen to zero by 2007. And there are major weaknesses in much of the world's financial system.

Nonetheless the US is capable of recovering on its own, with a sufficient domestic economic stimulus and a sensible resolution of the major insolvencies in the financial system – regardless of what other governments do. The US recovery will in turn help the rest of the world.

The fact that the dollar is the key reserve currency of the world gives the US even more leeway. There are loud complaints from conservatives about our recession-induced free-spending ways, but investors world-wide are willing to lend the US government money at the historically low (both real and nominal) rate of 2.9% on 10-year Treasury bonds. This is not the sign of an impending fiscal crisis.

It is good that the G20 leaders are at least talking about increased international co-operation in order to deal with the world recession, and there are some areas – eg regulation of the financial sector or preventing illegal international capital flows and international tax avoidance – where increased international co-operation can be especially helpful. But even in these areas, many of the most important reforms can be implemented by individual governments.

The global nature of the "global economy" has been grossly exaggerated, as have been its implications. The world today is still much more a collection of national economies, and national governments – especially in the larger economies – have the potential to choose most of their economic policies much as they did 30 or 40 years ago.

The government of China, for example, has for decades controlled capital flows into and out of the country, regulated foreign investment in accordance with national development needs and plans, fixed its exchange rate and owned most of the banking system. In this way it was able to take advantage of "globalisation" – both international trade and foreign direct investment – to achieve the fastest economic growth in world history.

The contemporary idea of the "global economy" is based on a misapplied analogy to the historical development of national economies. For example, the US economy was much less stable, with more frequent and much longer recessions, before the creation of regulatory institutions, including most importantly the Federal Reserve in 1913 and the New Deal reforms of the 1930s. (The current crisis, which has occurred after decades of deregulatory reforms, appears to be the exception that proves the rule).

Thus, it is reasoned, we now live in a "global economy", and this too must be regulated to iron out some of the irrationalities and instabilities inherent in a market economy.

Of course there is some truth to this argument. The idea of a world reserve currency to replace the dollar, for example, most recently floated by China, is a potential reform that could improve world macroeconomic stability.

But the concept of the "global economy" is very often an exaggerated one, generating confusion and negative political consequences. Reforms that are both necessary and feasible at the national level, such as appropriate exchange rate, fiscal and monetary policies (especially in normal times) or capital controls, are rejected as incompatible with the "global economy".

At the same time, reformers often mistakenly look to supra-national institutions that are mainly deregulatory, unaccountable and regressive – the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and World Trade Organisation are prime examples – to resolve the problems that these institutions have themselves helped to create.

Finance ministers (or Treasury secretaries) that are beholden to powerful interests at home are even less accountable to the public when making decisions in these bodies that are another step removed from the electorate of member countries. If they won't do the right thing at home, they are far less likely to do it at the IMF or the World Bank. For the present, at least, reform at the national or perhaps regional level is a much better bet.

Indeed, "globalisation" under inappropriate rules and policies has contributed significantly to the current crisis. Even the EU, a project that compares favourably to the "race-to-the-bottom" economic integration of the Nafta variety, is currently hampering the Eurozone's recovery. The restrictions on budget deficits and the ultra-conservative central bank set up by the Maastricht treaty are making it more difficult for Europe to counteract this recession.

Efforts to redraw the rules for global commerce in a more equitable and rational manner – such as those of the UN commission headed by Joseph Stiglitz – are a vital part of creating a better future for the generations to come. But the world cannot wait for the time when the governments of the rich countries are willing to cede decision-making power to institutions – such as the United Nations – that they cannot completely dominate. Nor does it have to wait.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media Limited 2009

Thursday, April 9, 2009

Water cut off in Mexican capital

Mexico City officials have shut down a main pipeline providing fresh water to millions of residents because reserves have fallen to record low levels.

The closure, due to last 36 hours, will affect five million people, or a quarter of the city's population.

Unusually low rainfall last year and major leakage are blamed for leaving reservoirs less than half full.

Hundreds of water trucks have been deployed in the areas worst affected by the cuts.

The local government says it will carry out emergency repairs to the water supply network.

More than 50% of the water carried by the pipeline leaks out before it reaches its destination.

This is the third time the capital has faced such a drastic form of water rationing this year, the BBC's Stephen Gibbs in Mexico City reports.

It has been deliberately timed to coincide with Easter weekend, when many residents, or at least those who can afford to, leave the city, our correspondent says.

Mexico City was once a floating city, built on a spectacular chain of volcanic lakes, and flooding used to be its main environmental threat.

But since the lakes were finally drained in the 1960s, the city has been struggling with its water supply, our correspondent says.

Are you in Mexico City? Have you been affected by the pipeline shut down? Send us your comments.

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/americas/country_profiles/7993279.stm

Published: 2009/04/10 02:27:23 GMT

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

The G20, Empire, and Anti-Capitalist Demands

April 07, 2009 By Sasha Lilley
Source: Pacifica Radio

Sasha Lilley's ZSpace Page

Sasha Lilley: This past Wednesday, before the start of the G20 Summit in London, France and Germany asked for more regulation as a response to the unraveling of the financial system, while the US has stated it would like to a see a coordinated global stimulus plan without such regulation. How do you see these divisions within the most powerful nations of the Group of 20?

Leo Panitch: I think they're enormously overplayed. I really don't think they amount to a row of beans. The American administration is entirely interested in changing regulatory forms. Not that it has really been an unregulated system that has led to this crisis. I think that's an illusion. The American financial system is probably the most regulated in history. The regulatory agencies were promoting these kinds of innovations and speculations in finance.

Sasha Lilley: Can you elaborate - as most people on the Left think regulation got stripped away and hence finance ran amok?

Leo Panitch: There was a change in the mode of regulation, but there wasn't less regulation. And in a lot of ways, when you have freer markets you need more rules, if nothing else to protect the more property owners who are in the market, to lay the rules under which they can sue each other and go to court when they are not able to make their obligations. Now, that's finally blown up in their faces and obligations cannot be met, and it's certainly possible to say that the agencies should have developed forms of controlling some of the stuff that was developed. But they weren't interested in that. They saw their role as developing the kinds of regulations that would promote this financial speculation. And this financial speculation was absolutely necessary to the kind of dynamic globalization that capitalism produced - to the cost of a great many people around the world all the way through it, especially in the Global South. But nevertheless everyone was going on about how dynamic capitalism was and it couldn't have been that dynamic without finance.

Now the point is that this was also true in Europe. The European Union, for all of the talk of the Left that it was going to be the union of the social charter, which would protect social rights, was primarily over the last two decades a union which sponsored the freedom of financial capital and promoted the financialization of European banks and insurance systems. That's why it's the Deutsche Bank that's holding most of the subprime mortgages in the black communities in Cleveland. This was facilitated by the European regulators.

Now that's not to say that there isn't going to be - now that if you like the barn has burnt down - that there isn't going to be some new regulations introduced with regard to the type of fire prevention, now that they see what has happened. But the United States is as interested in this as the Europeans are. The only difference is that the Europeans need to find a way to do this amongst themselves, given the integration of the European Union and capital markets. They can't do it with thirty different states - that's their main concern. The United States will want multilateral regulation, but will of course - as it's always wanted, as every empire wants - it wants to be able to exert its imperial rights over that regulation as the leading state in the capitalist world. And it will do that. It will get it.

But these disagreements are really minor. Maybe a slightly bigger one is whether Germany wants to stimulate as much as other countries might. They've always been particularly neurotic about inflationary tendencies. And to some extent it was the German Bundesbank, their central bank, which really controls the European central bank now, which was always more Hayekian, if I can use that term, or Friedmanite or Monetarist, as I guess is the term that most people know, long before the US Fed was. The Germans ran their economy through the Second World War period right through the 50s and 60s, as if though they'd never heard of Keynes. And they still are the least Keynesian.

Sasha Lilley: And you mean by that, not interested in public spending to stimulate the economy.

Leo Panitch: Yes, not interested in fiscal deficits in stimulation of the economy. And they're afraid of inflation by virtue of the theory of the money that their bank operates with - you don't create money in order to promote the economy. But these differences are not serious; they are entirely minor and far too much is being made of them.

Sasha Lilley: You just mentioned empire with respect to the US. How should we understand the role of the US within the Group of 20?

Leo Panitch: It is the imperial state. It penetrates economically and certainly did financially, not least through the investment banks that were the source of so much of the problem, all the other states. You can see the extent to which the imperial relationship continues, by virtue of the fact that the American dollar has gone up in the course of this crisis and that capital everywhere around the world has been running to the safe haven of the US Treasury bond. That is seen and it has been seen by international capital since the 1930s as the safest investment in the world because the United States is seen as the safest capitalist state, the least likely to default on its debts. This is as true of China as it is of Europe; it's as true of Japan as it is of China. And as the Chinese have said, they of course desperately want guarantees from the United States that it won't default on its debt. They would very much like an IMF-sponsored international reserve currency that wasn't the dollar. But they're saying all these things because they are so utterly dependent on holding US Treasury bills for their own monetary stability. And they can't find a way of getting out of it. And this shows you the extent to which the imperial relationships that built this global capitalism we've been living through continues.

Now perversely, what we're seeing is the continuation of that through the creation of a worldwide, very severe economic crisis, probably depression. That's perverse, but it shows how central the American state and the American economy is to the whole of global capitalism. What begins as a very minor section of its financial markets - subprime mortgages - and the effect of that is that the whole world goes into a tailspin. That's a perverse example of the imperial relationship, but a real one. The Onion had a great headline in November 2007, just after the crisis began, and the headline was: "Bush Proud the US Can Cause Markets around the World to Collapse".

Sasha Lilley: What you're arguing is quite different from what a lot of analysts on the Left have been saying recently, which is that US empire is on the decline, that there's pressure on the dollar, and that while it may have gone up right now, the expectation is that it will go down, and that, as you say, there is a search for other currencies. I wonder if you could talk a more about why you don't think that US power is waning.

Leo Panitch: Well, it's perhaps a matter of wishful thinking on the part of the rest of the Left. US power is confronted by a series of very, very difficult problems. And indeed trying to integrate the states of the Global South into this informal empire may prove to be even more difficult a challenge than the old empires faced with their colonies. But the notion which is most common, that either Europe with its presumably - and it's really ludicrous - more "civilized" capitalism or China - it used to be Japan that was the favorite example but nobody points to that any more - are inter-imperial rivals to the United States, are challenging the American state's imperial role in the making of global capitalism, that is what I don't agree with.

I think that the crisis of the empire is a crisis of all the capitalist states in the empire, so there isn't a relative loss of American power. There are enormous problems that the contradictions of a financialized globalization got them all into. And they're all scrambling to find a way, under the aegis of the American state's umbrella, to manage this crisis. So for me it's not that it isn't a problem, it's that people tend to look, I think naively, at there being somewhere else that's better, somewhere else that's stronger, somewhere else that's autonomous of the American empire, and I don't think that's true.

The other side of this I guess is the Left's tendency to think that there was this great form of regulation back before Ronald Reagan or back before Jimmy Carter and that suddenly what happened was that all these state agencies decided to get into bed with capital and stop controlling capital, as though the American state was this independent, social democratic, neutral guarantor of the public's interest against business before 1975 or 1980. That's nuts.

Sasha Lilley: So you're talking about the legacy of the New Deal.

Leo Panitch: Yes. What happened was that the New Deal, which brought in real reforms, saved Wall Street from its demise in 1932. That did mean that the JP Morgan empire was displaced with Goldman Sachs, but the effect of the New Deal banking legislation was to create the conditions under which the Fed, and the other agencies created at that time, nurtured finance back to health. And it was so healthy by the end of the World War Two that it was able to write Bretton Woods in a way that suited New York bankers.

Sasha Lilley: And Bretton Woods was, of course, the conference that took place in 1944 which established international regulation and also gave rise to the International Monetary Fund

Leo Panitch: Right. And the International Monetary Fund has been, with the US Treasury, the agent if you like of American capital. Everyone blames the IMF for imposing conditions on countries that need loans from it, but it's really the bankers who want to ensure that those countries open up to the free movement of capital and maintain fiscal responsibility so they don't default on any of their debts that the private bankers lend to them. That's the interest the IMF serves and it's been Wall Street primarily that it has served.

So what happened was that, sure, there has been a very active state that has set up price controls - that is, banks couldn't compete with one another through higher interest rates to get your deposit or my deposit, so in that sense, there was a bit of price control that was introduced during the New Deal. But that was precisely the same type of price control that you had in private utilities like electricity or telephones and so on, which limited competition but brought giant monopolies into the economy. And what happened was these banks grew back to health and outgrew the New Deal regulations. They grew so big they out-spilled them and they started investing all around the world and indeed in markets, especially in London where there was no regulation in the Euro-dollar market or the Euro-bond market, all of which was conducted in dollars. And insofar as that was going on they then were able to turn around and say, we need to get rid of these price controls in the United States because we can do business elsewhere. And one needs to remember that workers and their pension funds were demanding that these price controls be removed because they weren't getting the benefits of competition when they tried to invest pensions in the stock market through investment banks and so on. They wanted discounts below what the New Deal prices allowed for, given how large their investments were.

So by the 1960s, this all exploded the New Deal regulations; it was well beyond what they could control or even wanted to control. What happened was that you got this explosion of financial innovation and the creation of new agencies or the active role of old ones in promoting them. And they promoted them because it made a lot of money on Wall Street. New York's revival from the 1970s was all bound up with the enormous innovation and dynamism and speculation of Wall Street. But it isn't just speculation. If you're going to trade around the world and you have fluctuating currencies and fluctuating interests rates and different rules and regulations and different court systems, you need to be able to speculate over what the currencies will be six months from now when you need to be able to deliver whatever you promised to sell on the other side of the world. So that speculation has been absolutely functional to the credit that is needed in global trade. We couldn't have had the explosion in global trade without the hedging of risks that this financial innovation involved.

It's all mixed up with the dynamism - and tremendous inequality and unevenness - of a capitalist world system. And people who don't want to confront that, and that's most of the Left, and are looking for an easier way out than trying to get beyond capitalism will try naively to say, back in the 1950s we controlled all this. Well, back in the 50s you didn't yet have this dynamic capitalism, which recovered so tremendously through the postwar era and exploded in the way it did into globalization in the sixties, seventies, eighties and nineties.

Sasha Lilley: For the Left to come up with solutions which don't hark back to a golden age that may not have existed, what solutions do you think we should be looking at? One of the focuses of the demonstrations in the streets of London have been around the banking system and in its most spectacular form, protestors stormed the Royal Bank of Scotland. There's been calls on the streets to make banks a public utility. What do you think of that demand by the Left?

Leo Panitch: I am very much in favor of that. And the main reason that I'm in favor of it is that taking the banking sector, the whole of the financial sector, into the democratic public domain - however limited our democracies are - would remove the economic power of that fraction of the capitalist class that are the bankers. Who have enormous power. They're not the only ones who are powerful, but it would remove their power. And that's the most important reason to take capital away from them.

Now that could also be said of the importance of nationalizing other sectors. But let's just address this. That's the main reason, that you shift the balance of class forces in this society by doing that. And the failure to do that means that Obama needs to say, while at the same time as saying that there is a scandal in giving AIG executives their million dollars in bonuses, he needs to say, we need to find a way of preventing that, while not preventing getting the cooperation of the private bankers in getting the banking system back on track again, that's the way he put it last week. That's exactly what Paulson said. Paulson was the Treasury Secretary before Geithner, under Bush. And he had the gall, having been the highest paid CEO on Wall Street with the largest bonuses before he became Treasury Secretary, back when he was head of Goldman Sachs, he had the gall when he was trying to get his TARP plan through Congress to say that he thought salaries on Wall Street were unconscionable and we needed to do something about it. But in the same breath he said we need to find a way of doing that that doesn't get in the way of the TARP program working.

Now, what all that means about not getting in the way is simply a reflection of the inherent class power on Wall Street that is linked to the American state. So the most important reason for making banking a public utility is to shift the balance of power in society.

Now on top of that, banking ought to be a public utility insofar as banks can't exist without state deposit insurance; that's been proven since the 1930s and every government in the world has them and follows the American state in having them. Insofar as we can see that a volatile global financial system constantly produces financial crises in which central banks immediately act as lenders of last resort, using public funds to do so, you can see why this shouldn't be something private.

What we've arrived at is a world in which a great deal of finance and production is completely social, is totally socialized, but is privately owned. And that's increasingly irrational. And the reason for turning banking right now - given how much the bankers are demoralized, confused, don't know what to do, are on their heels, feel illegitimate in society, etc - it's an enormous opportunity to turn the credit system, which is necessary, into a public utility, but to do that in a way that changes the criteria upon which lending is done. Just to have the banks nationalized and then for them to act as though they were identical to the previous private banks would make no sense. And the kinds of thing that Stiglitz and Krugman are calling for, which is nationalize them, take the bad debt off the books and then give them back to the private sector, would be fundamentally undemocratic. So Stiglitz and Krugman only look radical because of how little radical the Democratic Party is, not because what they're proposing is radical at all.

Sasha Lilley: So the bad debt would be socialized, but the public would not be left with any control over the banks.

Leo Panitch: Exactly. The proposal is to give the banks back to the private sector on the thesis that we can't have a properly democratized state. I agree the existing state is very problematic, once we start thinking about how we would want to have banking as a public utility, we immediate need then to start thinking about how we would change the Fed, how we would democratize it so it wasn't run by regional bankers. What we're talking about is a massive, hopefully peaceful, change. But that's what needs to be on the agenda is light of the tremendous crisis that we're facing.

Sasha Lilley: What would the mechanics of bank nationalization, the process of nationalizing a bank, look like?

Leo Panitch: Well, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation does it all the time. During the early 1980s, when thousands of banks went out of business - there was a tremendous concentration of banking during Reagan's early years when there were very high interest rates - the FDIC was constantly doing it. It's even done it with very big banks like Continental Illinois. In the last year, it's been done it with some two or three dozen banks. What it does is that it simply goes in, declares that the bank is not functioning and has the total right to do it, and takes it over. Then inevitably having sold off the bad debt at a discount, and it's able to do this because it's been using taxpayers' money or collecting insurance fees from the banks in order to exist, it then sells of some of that debt, recoups in other words some of its costs, and then sells or tries to sell that bank back to the private sector. And it usually finds a bank that will take on this bank now that it's been cleaned of its old assets.

So it's not a big deal in terms of the legal means of doing this - it's been done with big banks, it's been done with small banks, they know how to do it legally. The problem is that this nationalizing of the banking system as a whole, the whole financial sector - which would also mean near-banks, the insurance companies that played this kind of role, the hedge funds, the investment banks and so on, not just the Bank of America - they'd all have to be brought into a public banking system. That's a very big deal. It's not a matter of just getting lawyers to sign a few documents or bringing all the stakeholders together in a room. For this you need to build the kind of movement in society that doesn't exist, that puts this on the agenda, that explains to people why it's worth running the risks to do this. Because of course, bankers would scream and yell and say what little you still have in the banking system you're going to lose.

You need, in other words, a very different set of political forces in the United States before you can even have this. The reason for raising it, and it's why the people were on the street in London, is that they're on the street in order to build the kind of movement that will change the political conditions in the society. And this is not only true in the United States. This is going to involved a lot of international solidarity where movements support each other as they learn about how to do this kind of thing, how to put these kinds of things on the agenda, and they're all about changing the balance of power in our societies.

Sasha Lilley: What about a broader call for nationalization of industry going beyond the banks? Because of course these protests are going on in the UK where in enormously dramatic ways in the 1980s and 90s, under Thatcher and then continued under Blair, the nationalized industries of that country were privatized.

Leo Panitch: I'm really glad you raised that, Sasha. Back in the 1970s, a lot of the left of the socialist and social democratic labor parties had on their agenda the nationalization of the banking system. In 1976, Tony Benn and Ken Livingston, who was just mayor of London, and the left in the Labour Party passed a resolution at the Labour Party conference calling for the nationalization of the five largest banks and the seven largest insurance companies in Britain. And they were arguing that unless this was done, that the reforms that had been won during the period of the Keynesian welfare state in the 50s and 60s was going to be lost, that you had to build on those and go beyond them if you weren't going to lose them. And they were ignored, defeated, called Neanderthals by all of the leaders of the social democratic parties and that kind of thinking was marginalized in the 1980s and 90s. And we see the consequences of that today. The privatizations that occurred were very much in the wake of the failure to go on and control, take over, the power of the City of London, which was always the most powerful element of British capitalism in the twentieth century. The City of London was the backbone of Thatcherism. Thatcher got her start and her ideas got their start in bulletins that were circulated in the City of London in 1972-73 during the miners strike and so on. The failure to do that led to the loss of so many of the reforms that had been won on the basis of a different balance of class forces that came out of World War Two.

We need to remember, however, that those weren't what we want them to be today either. Those nationalized industries were, in the main, industries that were nationalized because they had been bankrupted by the capitalists who ran them, whether they had been railways or the mines. Despite of an enormous battle in the labor movement to have workers elected to their boards, their boards were appointed and it was mostly businessman and technocrats and the odd university professor who were put onto those boards. They were not democratically-run enterprises.

And even the government agencies that people most needed, welfare bodies, etc, people who were dependent on them were afraid of them. Single mothers on welfare, desperately needing the welfare state were afraid of the welfare state. They were afraid a social worker will show up one morning and find that there's an extra toothbrush on the sink and therefore they're going to be cut off by virtue of somebody having a boyfriend. So people were afraid of this bureaucratic welfare state. And it's one of the reasons why politicians like Thatcher were able to get traction amongst working people when they pronounce themselves as anti-state - which they weren't of course, they were moving people out of welfare offices and into prisons, and you can't find anything more statist than prisons. But there was a certain appeal that people who were dependent on these institutions nevertheless were attracted to, because they were uncomfortable with a state that was never democratic, didn't serve them very well.

So as we put these ideas newly on the agenda, they have to be not only about taking capital away from capitalists, but about democratizing. We desperately need to do this for the auto sector. The scandal of saying that you can't reopen the contracts of bankers, whereas you insist that the autoworkers constantly reopen their contracts, is an example of the class nature of all of these capitalist states. You know, during the Second World War, the auto industry wasn't producing cars, it had been converted into producing plane fuselages. We need to take the whole of that industry, including the parts sector, into the public domain and convert it into ecologically sustained production. Some of that can be vehicles that are run on hydrogen or electricity, but a lot of it should be public transit. And there's no reason why the enormous skills and tremendous machinery that is a legacy now of generations shouldn't be turned over and converted to the making of solar panels. Tool and die makers in the auto industry and the machines that they work with have the capacity to do this. If these companies are simply sold off to the highest bidder in little bits and pieces, we're going to lose a tremendous social legacy. It's a scandal.

Sasha Lilley is the author of 'Capital and Its Discontents', forthcoming from Monthly Review Press.
Leo Panitch teaches political science at York University in Toronto and is the editor of The Socialist Register.

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Why Is the Center for American Progress Cavorting with Neocons? Oh, Right, Because They Are on the Same Team

By Jeremy Scahill

Obama’s Favorite Think Tank Buddies Are Hosting a Pro-War Party April 3. They And Their Neocon Pals Are Gonna Tell Those Afghans How Good This War Will Be For Them.

The Center for American Progress, which was founded by former Clinton chief of staff John Podesta in 2003, masqueraded as a “progressive,” semi-anti-war organization through the dark years of the Bush administration when it required little political courage to oppose the White House and wars that were portrayed as Bush’s or the Republicans’. While feigning opposition to the Iraq war, CAP refused to confront Democrats over their continued funding of that war. After Obama’s election, Podesta, of course, headed the transition team, which swiftly appointed hawkish Democrats from the Clinton era, kept on Robert Gates and other Republicans, sidelined progressives and in doing so won praise from neocons and other Republicans. Now that “their” guys—big “D” Democrats—are back in power, CAP has assumed its rightful place as a partisan front group for the Democratic Party’s power structure and for selling Obama’s wars to “progressives.”

As John Stauber, head of the Center for Media and Democracy, has pointed out, CAP “strongly supports Barack Obama’s escalation of the US wars in Afghanistan and Pakistan.” This week, CAP is officially unveiling its manifesto in support of Obama’s aggression against Afghanistan—a report called “Sustainable Security in Afghanistan: Crafting an Effective and Responsible Strategy for the Forgotten Front.” CAP uses the language of Empire—US interests, US national power— in describing its report, saying it is “the product of the Center’s review of U.S interests, goals, and strategy in Afghanistan and the region. Bearing in mind the vital U.S interests in the country and South Asia, the report concludes that the United States must attempt to build a national representative government that is able to govern, defend, and sustain itself. The report argues that reaching the ultimate objective of a resilient Afghan state will require a comprehensive and long-term approach that uses all elements of U.S national power.”

On April 3, CAP is hosting a little release party for the report in the form of a public discussion arrogantly titled, “A New Way Forward in Afghanistan,” which includes a leading neoconservative activist, Frederick Kagan, one of the lead proponents of the “surge” in Iraq. In addition to being a “Resident Scholar” at the American Enterprise Institute, which was basically Dick Cheney’s bunker away from the bunker in the 1990s, Kagan was also a major figure in advocating the agenda of the neocon-Project for a New American Century, which molded the Bush administration’s conquistador foreign policy. Kagan’s brother Robert along with his loony-bin necon buddy William Kristol started a new version of PNAC a few weeks ago, called the Foreign Policy Initiative. Another key figure in the group is Dan Senor (who is married to CNN’s Campbell Brown), formerly L. Paul Bremer’s righthand in Iraq and a generally repulsive character. FPI’s primary objective thus far seems to be supporting Obama’s Afghanistan policy and encouraging it to get even more violent and bloody and open ended. Great bunch of fellas, really. See here and here for more on FPI.

In fact, FPI promoted the CAP Afghanistan event in its daily email digest on April 2.

So, rather than finding itself allied with anti-war groups and actually advocating a progressive agenda, CAP is turning to these vile neocons to declare “A New Way Forward in Afghanistan.”

Monday, April 6, 2009

End Cuba isolation, Castro urges

Fidel Castro has called on Latin American countries to support an end to Cuba's isolation when they meet the US president at a regional summit.

Cuba is not invited to attend the Summit of the Americas, which opens in Trinidad and Tobago on 17 April.

In a newspaper editorial, the former president said that the summit would be a "trial by fire" for the region.

He urged leaders to ensure that both Cuba's isolation and the US trade embargo against it were on the agenda.

Almost all the countries in Latin America and the Caribbean now support an end to the embargo and want Cuba re-admitted to the organisation of American states, says the BBC's Michael Voss, in Havana.

Mr Castro said that he had seen a draft text of the final statement which the US wants to be signed at the summit.

It contained "a great number of inadmissible concepts", he wrote, and did not acknowledge the calls for better Cuba-US ties.

"Who is now demanding our exclusion? Perhaps they don't understand that times of exclusionary agreements against our people have been left far behind," he wrote.

US President Barack Obama has taken a less confrontational approach to the communist nation than his predecessor, George W Bush, our correspondent adds.

But his administration continues to insist that there must be progress towards democracy and on human rights before the trade embargo can be lifted.

The US began imposing restrictions on Cuba after Mr Castro took power in 1959, making it the only Communist state in the Americas - and a Cold War flashpoint.

Mr Castro's younger brother, Raul, formally took over the presidency from him in February last year.

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/americas/7984850.stm

Published: 2009/04/06 01:29:22 GMT

Saturday, April 4, 2009

OECD estimates USD 11 trillion parked in tax havens

London, Apr 3 (PTI) The OECD has estimated that about USD 11 trillion, more than 10 times the amount committed by G-20 leaders to revive the world economy, is held in tax havens, even as it released the black list of non-cooperative nations.
Estimates of the value of assets held in tax havens range from USD 1.7 trillion to USD 11.5 trillion, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said while naming Malaysia, the Philippines, Uruguay and Costa Rica as countries that have not agreed to implement international tax standards.

Mauritius, the country from where large amounts of investments are routed to India, figures among the nations that have substantially implemented tax standards.

Among the countries that have committed themselves to the internationally agreed tax standards but have not yet implemented them are Singapore, Switzerland, Bahamas, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, and Cayman islands.

The OECD, which is a grouping of developed nations, released the list of blacklisted countries soon after the G-20 leaders announced a plan impose sanctions against tax havens.

"This is the start of the end because country after country is now signing up to the principles that have been set forward internationally. The principle is that you got to be prepared to exchange information about tax," UK Prime Minister Gorden Brown told reporters after the summit.

PTI http://www.ptinews.com/pti%5Cptisite.nsf/$All/414D6111AE8483DA6525758D0029209D?OpenDocument

OECD names and shames tax havens

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has published its blacklist of non-cooperative tax havens.

Costa Rica, Malaysia, and the Philippines are the countries listed as not having agreed to tax standards.

Uruguay had originally been listed too, but later protested that it had been wrongly included.

After listening to its arguments the OECD said it was happy the country had agreed to its tax transparency rules.

The list is part of efforts agreed at the G20 summit to clamp down on havens.

There is also a list of 38 places that have agreed to improve standards but not yet done so, such as Gibraltar, Liechtenstein, Andorra and San Marino.

'Willing to co-operate'

On Thursday, G20 leaders agreed to take sanctions against tax havens using the OECD list as its basis.

In their communique, they agreed, "to take action against non-cooperative jurisdictions, including tax havens".

"We stand ready to deploy sanctions to protect our public finances and financial systems. The era of banking secrecy is over."

Uruguay had objected to its inclusion on the list, published earlier on Friday.

The South American country sent a letter to Angel Gurria, secretary-general of the OECD, from its finance minister Alvaro GarcĂ­a.

He informed the OECD that Uruguay had formally endorsed the body's standards on transparency and exchange of information.

"I am pleased that Uruguay joins a growing number of nations willing to co-operate in fighting tax evasion and other tax abuses," said Mr Gurria.

Pressure

Angel Gurria, secretary general of the OECD, said that the G20 summit had helped to focus minds on the issue of tax havens.

“ There were frosty negotiations between France and China over the inclusion of Macau ”
Paul Mason, BBC Two Newsnight economics editor
"We've had more progress in the last two weeks on this matter than we've had in the last 10 or 12 years," he told the BBC.

He added that the progress had come despite the leaders not specifying what sanctions they would take.

"[Non-cooperating countries] will move because they know the question of sanctions, however ill-defined that was, is going to affect them somehow."

The Philippines is already reported to be taking steps to remove itself from the blacklist.

"The Philippine government would take the necessary steps to ensure we meet their expectations," Trade Secretary Peter Favila told the Associated Press news agency.

"It is really up to us to prove them wrong."

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak said that his country should not be on the blacklist at all.

"We should not be in that category as, in practice, we have been committed to OECD requirements," he said in a statement.

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/business/7980848.stm

Published: 2009/04/03 22:04:55 GMT